This result is not that surprising since a majority of our users also think “A Star Is Born” will be just the third film to win three acting Oscars for leads Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga, and supporting player Sam Elliott. Currently, Cooper is in first place in our Best Actor odds, while Elliott is in third in our Best Supporting Actor predictions.
A Best Actor victory is entirely feasible for Cooper, a three-time acting nominee who could rack up four nominations this year for “A Star Is Born,” Best Picture, Best Director and Best Adapted Screenplay being the others. Elliott might have a tougher time with limited screen time as Jackson’s (Cooper) older brother/manager Bobby in the film, but he has a couple of moving scenes and is a veteran who has never been nominated before.
Coming in second with 38 percent of the vote is “Green Book.” The buddy road trip dramedy is a crowd-pleaser, featuring winning turns from Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali. The film simply would not work with their chemistry, so it’s almost like if you vote for one, you’ll be compelled to vote for the other. Mortensen is in third place in our Best Actor odds, but Ali has ascended to first in the supporting race, the same category he won two years ago for “Moonlight.”
“Vice” is in last with 16 percent, but that is possibly due to the fact that the Adam McKay flick hasn’t been widely screened yet. It boasts transformations into real-life figures, one of the most reliable tracks to Oscar gold, with Christian Bale as Dick Cheney and Sam Rockwell as George W. Bush. Both former Best Supporting Actor champs, Bale is second place in our Best Actor odds and Rockwell is in fifth to defend his Best Supporting Actor crown.
If one of these films pulls off the manly double, it’d join “Going My Way” (1944), “The Best Years of Our Lives” (1946), “Ben-Hur” (1959), “Mystic River” (2003) and “Dallas Buyers Club” (2013).
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on January 22.